"The NHS will last as long as there are folk left with the faith to fight for it"
Aneurin Bevan

Tuesday, 28 September 2010

Election Analysis

Just looking at the Ipsos-Mori breakdown of the election results, I noticed some interesting figures.

The big gains in Tory vote (over 2005) were:
men 25-34 (+13%)
women 18-24 (+8%)

the big losses for Labour were
men 25-34 (-10%)
men 35-54 (-9%)
women 18-24 (-15%)
women 35-54 (-9%)
men DE (-12%)
women C2 (-15%)

Over all, the lead pf the Conservative over Labour compared to 2005 were
men 25-34 (18%)
men 55+ (12%)
women 55+ (12%)
men AB (21%)
men C1 (12%)
women C1 (10%)
women C2 (17%)

There is a lot here, but let's just pick two where there is a big swing of Labour to Conservative: men and women over 55. This is an important demographic because older people are more likely to vote (the turnout for 55-65 was 73% and for 65+ was 76%). Yet this is the demographic who most use the NHS and most use social care, they should be naturally attracted to the Labour policies in these areas. However, I think the reason why they switched from Labour was precisely because the Tory NHS and social care policies were deliberately down played by the Tories and then right-wing press.

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