"The NHS will last as long as there are folk left with the faith to fight for it"
Aneurin Bevan

Wednesday 30 March 2011

Do the BNP do better in Labour areas?

Any analysis of the 2010 election results shows that:

The BNP got votes in 338 seats and of these 160 had a Labour majority (47%), 152 had a Conservative majority (45%) and 24 had a Lib Dem majority (7%).(The other two seats were won by an SNP candidate and the Speaker.)

The BNP got more than 1000 votes in 281 seats and of these 134 had a Labour majority (48%), 134 had a Conservative majority (48%) and 12 had a Lib Dem majority (4%).

The BNP got more than 2000 votes in 91 seats and of these 60 had a Labour majority (66%), 29 had a Conservative majority (32%) and two had a Lib Dem majority (2%).

The BNP got more than 3000 votes in 26 seats and of these 19 had a Labour majority (73%), six had a Conservative majority (23%) and one had a Lib Dem majority (4%).

Of the BNP's ten largest majorities, eight were Labour, one was Conservative and one was LibDem. Of the BNP's 20 largest majorities, 14 were Labour, five were Conservative and one was LibDem. Of the BNP's 100 largest majorities, 64 were labour, 34 were Conservative and two were LibDem.

As ever, it all depends on what you regard as significant. It is clear that the absolute statement that the BNP do better in Labour areas is not true. Indeed, if you look at all the seats where the BNP got votes (or where they got more than 1000 votes) BNP voters are prevalent in as many Conservative constituencies as Labour. If you look at the constituencies where the BNP get larger votes, there are roughly twice as many Labour constituencies as Conservative, but it is clear that the BNP support is not confined to Labour constituencies.

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